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September 19, 2011

It's beaten the market by 185%: Fund Upgrading explained

In Upgrading, each month we rank more than 1,500 mutual funds by type and determine which ones have been delivering the best recent performance. We recommend the purchase of the top funds in each of five SMI risk categories. These funds will be held until they stop outperforming. At that point, we recommend replacement funds that are showing stronger recent performance.

Upgrading works because, market leadership rotates among different investment approaches and companies of different sizes as economic conditions change. But even though market conditions are constantly changing, fund managers rarely do. Managers who excel under one set of market conditions often are only average (or worse) under a different set of conditions. So, rather than buy a fund and hold it through both the periods that favor the manager's approach and the periods that don't, Upgrading continually guides us to funds that are in favor right now.

This means we move in and out of funds more frequently than some people are used to, but it has helped us establish a track record of beating the market over an extended period of time, under both bullish and bearish market conditions.

HOW HAS UPGRADING PERFORMED?
Fund Upgrading has achieved a consistent advantage over the market (as measured by the Wilshire 5000, the broadest measure of U.S. stocks)

The chart below shows the cumulative effect of this advantage, comparing the 11-year growth of a $25,000 Upgrading portfolio (dark shaded area) vs. the market return (light shaded area).

The $25,000 invested in Upgrading at the beginning of 1999 grew to $71,250 while the market portfolio (as measured by the Wilshire 5000) increased to only $35,250. In other words, the Upgrading portfolio was worth almost twice as much after 12 years than a portfolio that earned the market's return.

Graph


THE UPGRADING PROCESS

1. Sound Mind Investing's new subscriber materials will help you determine the appropriate amount to invest in each stock or bond group, which we call risk categories. These materials will guide you to the most appropriate column for you in our asset allocation chart (below).*
Asset Allocation Example

2. The asset allocation chart shows you exactly what percentage of your portfolio we suggest be invested in each category of mutual fund.

3. SMI's monthly Recommended Funds page shows which funds are currently recommended. Choose one (or more) funds from among the four recommendations in each category.

Recommended Funds

4. Each month, you simply review the new Recommended Funds page to see if any of the funds you own have been replaced. If any have, the new funds are clearly noted, and you just sell the old fund and buy the new recommendation.

Upgrading isn't complicated. It requires your attention only once per month, and its track record is exceptional. What are you waiting for? Order your subscription to Sound Mind Investing today!


Sign Up Now



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2 Comments | Leave a comment

This all sounds well and good for 40 year olds. I am almost 65 and I make about 1000 a month 8months of the year as an adjunct instructor. I put all of it in a 403b but have choices of allocation. I am in American Funds now and am hestitant at my age to do anothing risky because of the short time I can get lost money back. Are bond funds the way to go? or until this volitility settles down is there another place to put it?
Gayleen Nestor

Even at nearly 65, most people should still have some stock allocation. Lifespans have increased to the point where a new retiree needs to be thinking about how their money will last (and counter the effects of inflation) for at least two decades, if not three.

The first step of SMI's process (described briefly above) is to help each reader determine an appropriate stock/bond allocation given their own risk tolerance and age/season of life. This is the most important investing decision.

From there, SMI assists in choosing appropriate investments. But it all starts with getting the stock/bond allocation decision right. Our new reader materials are designed to walk you through that process.

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